Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.256280 0.297333 0.344424 0.402783 0.473645 0.557510 0.665183
2025-08-10 0.192409 0.244117 0.310411 0.403134 0.531899 0.708129 0.974283
2025-08-17 0.156038 0.210837 0.286937 0.403408 0.582896 0.859261 1.338827
2025-08-24 0.131473 0.186337 0.267356 0.400528 0.623977 1.004164 1.750400
2025-08-31 0.113069 0.166475 0.249348 0.393830 0.654370 1.138085 2.200194
2025-09-07 0.102363 0.156087 0.243386 0.404322 0.715565 1.346056 2.901542
2025-09-14 0.090744 0.142231 0.229004 0.396337 0.739137 1.486680 3.529552
2025-09-21 0.083013 0.133598 0.221917 0.399939 0.786301 1.695090 4.464207
2025-09-28 0.075935 0.125055 0.213518 0.398999 0.823183 1.893619 5.515828
2025-10-05 0.071509 0.120585 0.211856 0.411305 0.893660 2.208248 7.219489
2025-10-12 0.067266 0.115878 0.208959 0.420261 0.958770 2.538961 9.324676
2025-10-19 0.063390 0.111369 0.205755 0.427818 1.022778 2.899429 11.996992
2025-10-26 0.060192 0.107894 0.204376 0.439967 1.105450 3.375498 15.998128
2025-11-02 0.056588 0.103222 0.199868 0.443773 1.166402 3.816401 20.641506
2025-11-09 0.053161 0.098529 0.194673 0.444847 1.220085 4.268285 26.385814
2025-11-16 0.049804 0.093626 0.188363 0.441772 1.259976 4.693921 33.082007
2025-11-23 0.046504 0.088513 0.180933 0.434263 1.282927 5.063859 40.465209
2025-11-30 0.044726 0.086477 0.180404 0.446095 1.380040 5.886180 56.122858
2025-12-07 0.041894 0.081868 0.173176 0.437098 1.396405 6.294981 68.515660
2025-12-14 0.040029 0.079236 0.170453 0.441157 1.466675 7.091747 92.014032
2025-12-21 0.038055 0.076177 0.166309 0.440098 1.516404 7.819285 120.243632
2025-12-28 0.036951 0.075005 0.166805 0.453970 1.637529 9.188618 179.136969
2026-01-04 0.035737 0.073464 0.166160 0.464074 1.747394 10.636944 265.030838